【聖嚴法師~心靈環保法語】漫天紅塵心勿染，遍地荊棘杖竹行。Do not be corrupted by worldly vexations that surround one like dust, do not be deterred by a path beset with difficulties.

拜登大考 - 「切習保共」或「切共保美」？

斯斯有兩種，中共至少也有兩種，看你怎麼切。

一種切法是「中共不等於中國」，這是我2016年7月一篇文章的篇名，也是川普政府後期的官方立場。

這種切法下，不管是叫做戰略競爭對手還是敵人，美國不必對上13億中國人，只需對付9千500萬的共產黨員，台灣也無需視中國為敵，「反中」這個無時無刻不被中南海作為文攻武嚇統戰工具的漿糊概念，也可以正名為「反共」。美國、英國、日本。。。。以及世界上所有國家，都有許多「反共不反中」的人物及力量，因此這種切法，可以減緩或消弭許多因為歧義而產生的不必要社會對立，有助於凝聚共識。

另一種切法是「中共領導人不代表整個中共」。例如有人說，毛澤東路線不代表整個中共，否則後來怎會出來一個鄧小平帶領中共進行所謂的改革開放呢？這也是美國日裔政治學者法蘭西斯.福山的那句名言：「中國專制的恆古問題就是遇上好皇帝還是壞皇帝的問題」所要表達的意思。

川普政府後期堅決地採用了第一種切法。拜登的白宮團隊會用第一種還是第二種切法？這是個大哉問，也和台灣的未來息息相關。

2021一月底，重量級、屢出政要高官的「大西洋理事會」（Atlantic Council）發佈了一篇重磅政策建議：「更長的電報–邁向新的美國對中國戰略」（ THE LONGER TELEGRAM - Toward a new American China strategy )。

這份類白皮書使用的隱喻「長電報」，指的是1946年美國外交官喬治肯楠從莫斯科發給國務院的8000字長電報，直指蘇共的本質，斬斷了美國高層對蘇共的幻想，從此奠定了美國以蘇聯為主敵並進行長期冷戰的基礎。肯楠的「長電報」，核心概念只有一個：蘇共不等於俄國，美國必須將蘇共視為一個整體，並非除掉了史達林就可以解決問題。肯楠的切法是第一種。

「更長的電報」白皮書有八十餘頁，其內容被媒體界、政學界形容為「極度鷹派」，但報告內對中共的切法，卻是上述的第二種切法。扒開洋洋灑灑的分析及對策，該白皮書的內核其實只在論證一個道理：今天的中共會變成美國最大的威脅，罪都在領導人習近平一人，對內回歸毛澤東路線並清算異己、對外行使擴張主義；中共黨內反習人士眾多，美國應該致力於替換習近平路線，讓「更溫和的派系」執政、把中共拉回「2013年以前的狀態」，未來30年間中共就會馴服得走入美國秩序。

離奇的是，如此重中之重的戰略提案，作者既不是一個人名，也不是一群人名，而是署名為「匿名」（by Anonymous）。大西洋理事會對此解釋說，史上第一次容許匿名發表，實在是因為內容太過於重磅以及敏感，因此同意真實作者不透露身份。

直覺告訴我兩點：1）這封「更長的電報」是一隻貼上老鷹翅膀的熊貓。「如虎添翼」這句成語，在此處可以改為「如熊貓添翼」；2）推動甚至贊助這份政策白皮書的背後力量來自中共內部的反習派系。

換句話說，此白皮書可視為美國擁抱熊貓派，在經歷過川普白宮痛打之後的變裝翻身術。他們還不敢一步到位的跨越川普白宮在去職前所劃下的紅線 – 美國最大的戰略敵人就是中共這一群體。不碰這紅線，又如何保共呢？那就是揪出習近平，提出「換掉習近平，中共就會乖」的特效藥路線。

政治的水太深，目前還看不出來「大西洋理事會」的這個重磅動作，究竟是出自中南海內反習派的運作，還是出自拜登團隊的默許授意？讓我們繼續觀察。

這份提案白皮書與台灣有關。報告主體中有關台灣的部份說：《必須定下清晰的紅線，制止任何對台灣及其外島的軍事攻擊，包含經濟封鎖、對基礎設施或機構的大型電子攻擊。。。若制止無效則美國直接介入》。但是，報告中卻未定義何謂「美國直接介入」的意涵。報告的結論中所提到的美國對台灣立場，用的語言則是溫溫吞吞的「防止（制止）軍事拿下台灣」（deterred from taking Taiwan militarily）。

川普離職時留下的遺產是「切共保美」，而大西洋理事會的「更長電報提案」卻是「切習保共」。這兩條路線在戰術上雖然有重疊的部份，但在戰略上卻是南轅北轍。拜登怎麼切？這場大考將透露他的底色。

（本文原刊於蘋果日報網路版 2021-02-06，次日紙版）

范疇前哨預策專網開通 ！請點擊前往。
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今天釣魚時警察👮‍♀️突然出現了，說有個住在那個社區的鄰居抱怨說因為我不是住在那個社區的人所以我不可以在那裡釣魚。🤷🏻‍♂️ 警察自己覺得我也沒在做什麼壞事，也覺得這種抱怨滿可笑的，根本沒必要找警察來處理，但是因為那個社區有他們的規矩所以我還是得離開。所以我就謝謝警察，然後馬上去比較友善的地方去解決我的釣魚癮。😁
Had the cops called on me today. 😆 Apparently, someone in the neighborhood I was fishing at didn’t like that I was there, so decided to call the laws. 👮🤷🏻‍♂️ The cop was cool about it though, said she personally didn’t think it was a big deal bc I’m just doing something relaxing and not bothering anyone, but bc someone from the HOA complained, I had to leave. So I told her I understood, thanked her for her service, and left. However, not to be deterred, I immediately drove to friendlier waters and made sure I got my fix in. 😁

Game Preview

Marcus Camby has two goals tonight: lead Massachusetts to its first Final Four; avoid becoming a poster child for one of Allen Iverson's I-didn't-think-little-guys-could-do-that dunks.

The two aims may be inherently linked when top-seeded Massachusetts faces second-seeded Georgetown in the 6 p.m. NCAA East Regional final at the Georgia Dome.

The Minutemen (34-1) rely on the defensive presence of Camby, their 6-foot-11 All-America center and shot-blocker. The Hoyas (29-7) depend on the offensive fireworks of Iverson, their 6-foot All-America guard and acrobat.

They won't be guarding one another, but rest assured, they'll meet. Or perhaps collide is a better word, because Iverson's game is predicated on his headlong drives to the basket, which is where Camby will be waiting.

''It doesn't seem like he's 6-foot tall the way he gets up in the air,'' Camby said of Iverson. ''I know he can jump over me and dunk it, and I don't want to be anybody's poster child, so I'm going to try and block everything.''

Camby, the leading candidate for national Player of the Year, averages 3.8 blocks per game and is the fourth player in NCAA history to reach 300 blocks in his first three seasons. He is the primary reason the Minutemen are third nationally in field goal percentage defense at 38.5.

But don't think for a minute that Iverson will be deterred. He averages 25.1 points and has scored 30 or more in five of Georgetown's last nine games.

''It doesn't matter who's in there,'' Iverson said. ''I'm going to the hole anyway. I'm not going to change, even if there's two or three Marcus Cambys in there.''

And what about Carmelo Travieso, the UMass guard with a reputation for shutting down big-time scorers?

''I don't think anybody can play me one-on-one without handchecking me,'' Iverson said. ''That's just the way I am. I'm a very confident person.''

Confident enough to have attempted a Georgetown-record 29 shots in Thursday's semifinal victory against Texas Tech. Confident enough to keep shooting and driving when only 10 went in. Good enough to finish with a game-high 32 points, many coming in clutch situations.

''If I was on a team that just needed me to distribute the ball, that's what I'd do,'' Iverson said. ''Coach (John Thompson) gave me a role, and I accepted it. This team needs me to score.

''Before I came here, Coach Thompson told me he'd put the ball in my hands and let me play my style of basketball. He's been true to his word.''

Iverson has the Hoyas in their first regional final since 1989 and on the brink of their first Final Four since 1985. Camby has the Minutemen in their second consecutive East final and one game away from their first Final Four.

But both face daunting challenges besides one another. Camby must confront Georgetown's rugged front line players - Othella Harrington, Jahidi White, Ya-Ya Dia and company. Iverson must duel UMass guards Travieso and Edgar Padilla, composed veterans who will make him pay for any missteps.

The Hoyas undoubtedly will try to muscle the 220-pound Camby, much the way Oklahoma State and Big Country Reeves did in last year's East final, won by the Cowboys. Camby had just six points and four rebounds before fouling out, while Reeves dominated with 24 points and 10 boards.

''That game showed me what I needed to do to improve,'' Camby said. ''I can't forget about it because everybody brings it up.''

Recipe at: http://www.themeatmen.sg/buta-kakuni

Seductively soft flesh simmered in irresistible sweet salty flavours - this sinful culinary delight will keep your taste buds beckoning for another bite! With merely 10 simple steps, you can now easily indulge in the guilty pleasures of tender pork belly pieces and sweet daikon slices!

Juicy thick chunks of pork belly are simmered in the wonderful rich flavours from the braising liquid. Dashi is a simple seaweed-based stock infused with flavours from bonito fish flakes, dried kombu kelp, dried shiitake mushrooms and dried sardines. Although not commonly used in other cuisines, its subtle umami flavour makes it a key ingredient in many Japanese dishes.

Pair this impressively versatile liquid with the mixture of ginger, kombu kelp, brown sugar, soy sauce, mirin and sake. With the addition of daikon slices, slowly simmered for that hint of natural sweetness this method of cooking allows all that flavourful liquid to permeate deep into the meat and mushrooms. For a spicy addition Japanese mustard is a great way to stimulate your nasal passage while savouring that spicy kick together with those mouthwateringly rich flavours.

Don’t be deterred by the seemingly long cooking time for this recipe requires very minimal effort for maximum results! So take your time and leave the rest to the oven.

#themeatmensg #simple #delicious

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