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Photographer: Teddy Tzeng 曾崇倫
Partner: 承豪Chenghao
.
就像新書裡最後小記的敘述
腦袋時不時會蹦出想紀錄下來的想法
變成一份我自己交給自己的作業
交給各位的分享
也成為部落格的骨架
.
前數個月
這份作業量變成兩倍左右
要多一倍的文章孕育新書
也仍想維持部落格的更新
有時候出現的靈感都比較適合新書
於是耽誤了部落格的更新
.
新書上市
讓我稍微放鬆一些
最值得感動的是這幾天許多讀者的正面回饋
讓我相信我在對的路上努力著 前進著
這條路的前方還有什麼緣份等著我？
一步一步由我來揭曉吧！
祝福我和你的當下和未來都有感動和精彩～
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As the description of the postscript in my new book, special thoughts keep coming to mind.
And it becomes an assignment i send to myself, and what I want to share with all of you, and the scaffold of my blog.
.
In the last few months, this assignment had become twice it was.
I need more essays to support the updating of the blog and to grow my new book from a little seed.
Sometimes I got new ideas more suitable for the book, so I delay updating the blog.
.
My new book was published on 11/4.
I heaved a sigh of relief
Positive feedbacks from readers are touching and prove that I’m working hard on the right way.
I wonder what is there ahead on this road and I will find it out.
I wish a unique and fantastic future and present for you and me.

Repost :
Someone wrote this:

More than 20,000 FWs are now quarantined in several large dormitories. Confirmed infections up to 9 April reads

- S11 Dormitory : 283 cases
- Westlite Toh Guan : 49 cases
- Toh Guan : 25 cases
- Sungei Tengah Lodge : 43 cases
- Tampines Dormitory : 38 cases
- Cochrane Lodge : 9 cases
- Kranji Lodge : 7 cases
- 55 Sungei Kadut : 7 cases
- Project Glory : 37 cases
- 6 Battery Road : 5 cases
- Mustafa : 57 cases
- Keppel Shipyard : 17 cases

These are males. They have girlfriends.

Another large group, of the opposite female gender, are domestic workers (helpers). They are not in dormitories, they live in a Spore family household. Typically, they do not open up their private lives to their employers who do not know who their boyfriends are.

Infected persons can be infectious before they develop symptoms. The caveat is that their emissions of droplets and microdroplets are probably very low in covid19 virusload.

Spore has about 1,000,000 FWs population (ballpark number). They are housed in 43 dormitories in S’pore. Some have bad conditions like overcrowding and poor ventilation. This increase the risk of infection within the FW population in each dormitory.

For the purpose of a very simple transmission modeling, take an example of a 20,000 FW aggregate group.

If up to 2% are infected, this means 400 FWs.

Like the average Sporean, FWs also visit supermarkets, take mrt and buses etc. These are transient presence.

What I want to highlight are situations for *sustained interactions* where infections has a high chance of happening.

The 400 FWs could infect onwards their girlfriends.

This could bring covid19 right into Sporean households in large numbers.

*IF* their girlfriends are mostly domestic helpers, and *half* are infected, these 200 infected helpers will be the trigger to tip S’pore families into a covid19 disaster.

This is the point where much worse things can very quickly spiral out of control in a very probable chain of large sustained group infection interactions.

We’re talking possibly 200 infected households.

A helper in a household typically look after at least 1 child. So possibly
- 400 infected parents,
- 200 infected grandparents (assuming 1 per family)
- 400 infected kids (assuming 2 kids per family)

We now have onward infections:

- Parents goes to their companies with many co-office workers.

- Grandparents are the most vulnerable group. With their underlying conditions, this aged group will take up most of our bed resources in hospital ICUs and high dependency wards (I’m also talking limited numbers of ventilators).

- Children go to school. They would infect their classmates. Typically 30-40 in a class.

Worse, these other kids goes home to their families. Again, another set of 2 parents, a grandparent and probably another sibling. They will cause disastrous onward infections.
- Sibling goes to school, in a different class. Perhaps a different school. Onward infections.

If such a covid19 infection interaction chain develops, it is truly disastrous.

In the last few days of increasing unlinked cases leading up to circuit breaker (great use of neutral language to describe lockdown measures), I was very concerned about the start of widespread community infections.

When the circuit breaker was implemented, I heaved a sigh of relief. Not a day too soon.

Now, when I learn that FWs now are the group of newly formed clusters, and I consider the consequences of this simple model of onward interactions and infections, I am determined to advocate as strenuously as possibly that everyone stays at home and work from home.

Take this circuit breaker (lockdown in another word) seriously.

The FW-domestic helpers contact is the weakest link in Spore society that is not usually discussed.

Do not downplay this simple model for what could already have quietly happened in the last 1 or 2 weeks.

*We need to maintain viligance, even after 4 May,* when the simple model can kick in to trigger and project covid19 right inside your hitherto safe family.

I advocate we all adopt a war footing against covid19.
We are the frontline of defence. Docs, nurses and hospitals are our last line of defence.

Stay home. Keep safe.
Keep everyone safe.

正當大陸趕製瑞德西韋，各國趕緊研發武漢肺炎疫苗時，印度醫生卻出來潑冷水說：「我哋用撲熱式痛同心理諮詢就醫好晒啦。」

同日，武漢金銀潭醫院的院長張定宇亦說：「武漢肺炎實際是一種『自限性疾病』，只要得到妥善治療就可自癒出院，」然後他說，「病患自身的信心很重要，民眾勿過分恐慌。」

言下之意，心理可致命。

（沒想到他跟台灣一樣，堅持不改，稱之為「武漢肺炎」。）

作者

PHILADELPHIA — Andre Miller scored 28 points and the 76ers spoiled Allen Iverson's return to Philadelphia by beating the Denver Nuggets 115-113 Wednesday night.

Iverson, playing in Philly for the first time since being traded to Denver in December 2006, led all scorers with 32 points and added eight assists.

But the 76ers made the big plays down the stretch.

Samuel Dalembert scored the decisive basket with 32.9 second remaining. When Andre Iguodala lost possession of the ball over his head as he fell, Dalembert was there to grab it and turned for a lay-in.

Denver squandered a number of chances to tie in the final seconds. Iverson missed a jumper and Marcus Camby missed on a follow.

Iguodala emerged from a scrum, moved past half court and heaved the ball skyward in celebration.

Iguodala scored 21 points, Dalembert added 17 points, 12 rebounds and five blocked shots, including four in the last quarter. Willie Green added 16 points and Rodney Carney 11.

Carmelo Anthony scored 26 points, Kenyon Martin added 22 and Anthony Carter 12 for the Nuggets, who are scrambling for a playoff spot in the tough Western Conference.

The loss spoiled what Iverson had hoped would be a positive return to Philadelphia, where he spent the first 10-plus seasons of his career. And he didn't disappoint the fans that cheered his every drive, pull-up jumper and no-look passes for a decade.

On Wednesday, however, he had to settle for a rousing ovation and no victory.

All eyes were on Iverson when he trotted out for pregame warmups. The ovation from a jam-packed Wachovia Center crowd grew, and then Iverson made his way to center court, where he dropped down and kissed the 76ers logo.

The affection between the former 76ers MVP and the fans intensified throughout the pregame.

When Iverson was introduced, the fans showered him with raucous applause and a lengthy standing ovation. He worked the crowd by putting his hand to his ear and turning to each corner of the arena as the roar grew louder. The applause was only cut short by the introduction of the rest of the Denver lineup.

Just before the game started, Iverson trotted down the sideline to the Sixers' bench and embraced former coach Maurice Cheeks, the first time the two got together since he was traded 15 months before.

Iverson's impact was immediate as he fed Anthony for a game-opening 3-pointer and scored his first points on a 14-foot jumper at the 6:32 mark of the first quarter.

The Nuggets rallied from a seven-point halftime deficit with a 10-point run to open the third quarter.

Iverson, who had 12 points and five assists in the first half, added nine points in Denver's third-quarter run.

Notes:@ Philadelphia's Andre Miller turned 32 on Wednesday. ... The Sixers are 16-4 in their last 20 games and 10-1 in their last 11. ... The Nuggets move on to play the Nets in New Jersey on Friday. ... The 76ers travel to Orlando to take on the Magic on Friday night.