Reinventing Workers for the Post-COVID Economy

The nation’s economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic will hinge ( ) to some extent ( ) on how quickly show managers can become electricians ( ), whether taxi drivers can become plumbers ( ), and how many cooks can manage software for a bank.

This is likely to prove especially problematic for millions of low-paid workers in service industries like retailing ( ), hospitality ( ), building maintenance and transportation, which may be permanently impaired ( ) or fundamentally transformed. What will janitors ( ) do if fewer people work in offices? What will waiters do if the urban restaurant ecosystem never recovers its density ( )?

Their prognosis ( ) is bleak ( ). Marcela Escobari, an economist at the Brookings Institution, warns that even if the economy adds jobs as the coronavirus risk fades ( ), “the rebound won’t help the people that have been hurt the most.”

Looking back over 16 years of data, Escobari finds that workers in the occupations ( ) most heavily hit since the spring will have a difficult time reinventing themselves. Taxi drivers, dancers and front-desk clerks have poor track records moving to jobs as, say, registered nurses, pipe layers or instrumentation technicians.

COVID is abruptly ( ) taking out a swath ( ) of jobs that were thought to be comparatively ( ) resilient ( ), in services that require personal contact with customers. And the jolt ( ) has landed squarely on workers with little or no education beyond high school, toiling ( ) in the low-wage service economy.

“The damage to the economy and particularly to workers will probably be longer lasting than we think it is going to be,” said Peter Beard, senior vice president at the Greater Houston Partnership, an economic development group.

What’s more, he said, COVID will intensify underlying ( ) dynamics ( ) that were already transforming ( ) the workplace. Automation ( ), for one, will most likely accelerate ( ) as employers seek to protect their businesses from future pandemics

The challenge is not insurmountable ( ). Yet despite scattered ( ) success stories, moving millions of workers into new occupations remains an enormous ( ) challenge.

“We need a New Deal ( ) for skills,” said Amit Sevak, president of Revature, a company that hires workers, trains them to use digital tools and helps place them in jobs. “President Roosevelt deployed ( ) the massive number of workers unemployed in the Great Depression on projects that created many of the dams ( ) and roads and bridges we have. We need something like that.”

勞工轉型以因應後疫情時代經濟

美國經濟能否從新型冠狀病毒影響下復甦，將在一定程度上取決於表演經理們要多久才能變成電工，計程車司機能否化身為水管工，以及有多少廚師能替銀行管理軟體。

這對零售業、餐旅業、建築維修和運輸業等服務業數百萬低薪工人來說，問題恐怕特別大。這些行業可能受到永久性損害或發生根本性改變。若辦公室裡人變少了，工友要做什麼呢？若都市餐廳生態系統繁盛不再，服務生又該如何？

他們的前景是黯淡的。布魯金斯學會經濟學家Marcela Escobari警告說，即使就業機會隨新型冠狀病毒疫情風險消退而增加，「經濟反彈也幫不了那些受創最重的人」。

Escobari檢視16年來的數據發現，今春以來受衝擊最大的一些職業，勞工將很難自我改造。計程車司機、舞者和櫃檯人員轉行從事護理師、舖管工或儀器技工等工作者十分有限。

新型冠狀病毒突然帶走了一大批原本被認為較不容易永久消失的工作，即需與客戶面對面接觸的服務工作。這一衝擊直接打擊到那些僅受過高中教育、在低薪服務經濟區塊中掙扎的勞工。

經濟發展組織大休士頓商會資深副總裁Peter Beard表示：「經濟、尤其是勞工們受害的時間，可能比我們預期的還要更長。」

他說，更重要的是，新型冠狀病毒疫情將強化已經在改變職場的潛在動力，自動化即為一例，由於雇主力求讓自己的企業未來不受大疫情影響，自動化極可能加速。

這項挑戰並非不能克服。然而，儘管有少數成功的例子，讓數百萬勞工轉業仍是巨大的挑戰。

雇用勞工後培訓他們使用數位工具，並幫他們找到工作的Revature公司總裁Amit Sevak說：「我們需要一項針對職業技能的新政。小羅斯福總統大蕭條時期把大量失業勞工投入工程計畫，興建了我們現在使用的水壩、道路與橋樑。我們需要這樣的東西。」

#高雄人 #學習英文 請找 #多益達人林立英文
#高中英文 #成人英文
#多益家教班 #商用英文
#國立大學外國語文學系講師

1929年的時候，美國的新聞媒體還用depression蕭條這個詞。之後覺得這詞對市場預期影響不好，於是改為recession衰退期，意思是雖然暫時衰退但以後還能漲回來。之後，金融市場大佬們還覺得這詞太刺耳，又改為downturn低迷，然後再進一步改為最溫和的slowdown減速。但這些詞所描述的現象並沒有變，就是經濟蕭條。改變的是人們的心態，由於人人都想靠賭博發財，所以沒有人願意承認賭場有一日會停擺。即使在吃土的日子裡，大家都在不停用話術互相安慰：不存在蕭條，只存在技術性調整；不存在虧損，只存在負增長。

憂鬱症是現代社會普遍且危險的心理疾病，
日本筑波大學研發出 AI 偵測憂鬱症傾向的系統，
有助快速且大規模偵測潛在病患。
對 7,251 名受試者進行心理狀態調查，
透過AI 得到的調查結果準確率幾乎與研究團隊相同。
＃人工智慧 ＃智慧醫療

AIoT數位轉型策略與實務 博客來購買：https://www.books.com.tw/products/0010875914?loc=P_0001_007

AIoT的現在與未來Ted演講：https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lCXRPlaUk0s&t=4s

中華亞太智慧物聯發展協會協助企業數位轉型 https://www.facebook.com/APAC.AIOT/

昱創企管顧問有限公司https://rich4innovation.com/

https://technews.tw/2021/07/01/ai-can-be-used-to-detect-depression-symptoms/

【靜下心來好好想 - 珍惜生命 拒絕自殺】
Calm Your Inner Storm - Please Love Yourself To Say No To Suicide

本該活到70歲，30歲卻自殺，剩40年的壽命怎麼辦？

我過往想自殺的次數，不少於100次，小學時就覺得我活著很多餘。長大後想尋死的理由更多，家庭、工作、經濟、感情等等。如果當初真的就跳下去，就不會有今天的李季謙，拍了80多支影片，給幾萬個你們觀看了。

好笑的是，我有十年的時間，覺得自己就是個廢物，一事無成的廢物。

可現在你們留言說，我給你們很大的正能量。

同樣是力量，讓我能把負能量轉為正能量，從陰霾中走出來，給我很大的心靈力量的是佛法。

我媽說想自殺這麼丟臉的事，不該公開說給那麼多人聽。她好意想讓我的形象比較正面。在很多國家，每年的自殺率都在增加，從老到少，憂鬱焦慮的人越來越多，那我寧願不要這樣的面子，盡一點綿力拉大家一把。

如果你今天想要尋死，請靜下來心來好好想，先聽我這位「前輩」說。

? 《靜下心來好好想》免費索取1本（海外郵資NTD150）：
http://www.edaden.com/index.php?route=product/product&product_id=686

活一天 感恩一天
活一天 快樂一天
活一天 修行一天
～ 蓮生活佛

——————————————————————

If you kill yourself at age 30, when you should have lived till 70, what happens to the remaining 40 years?

I had contemplated suicide in the past, at least 100 times. During my primary school days, I felt my existance was redundant. When I grew up, there were many more reasons for suicide. Family, work, financial woes, relationships, etc. If I had jumped that one time, there will be no Lee Ji Qian today, to shoot over 80 videos for the tens of thousands of you to watch.

Ironically, for more than 10 years, I felt I was a useless person, with zero achievement.

Now, I see many comments telling me that I gave them positive energy.

The jab of energy which allows me to transform my negative energies and guided me out of the fog is the power of the Dharma.

My mother told me not to disclose publicly my past desire to kill myself. She said it was shameful for everyone to know, and I understand her good intention for me to maintain a positive image. In many countries, the suicide rate is increasing. More people of all ages are suffering from depression, and I would rather look bad in public and lend a helping hand to those in need through this video.

If you wish to take your own life today, please calm your inner storm, and listen to me, the one who had gone through the same path.

On my Youtube channel: https://youtu.be/79CPmq1SGYM

? CONNECT WITH ME HERE:
http://www.facebook.com/qianyuSG
https://www.instagram.com/qianyusg/

––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
1) Track: Suspense Scary Music
Music provided by Oak Studios
https://youtu.be/tJkQs5xEhPU​

2) Lightless Dawn by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative
Commons Attribution license
(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/​...)
Source: http://incompetech.com/music/royalty-​...
Artist: http://incompetech.com/​
- Music promoted by 1HMNC - No Copyright Music
https://youtu.be/88nxThiNquw​

3) "Steffen Daum - Goodbye My Dear" is under a Creative Commons license (CC-BY 3.0)
Music promoted by BreakingCopyright: https://youtu.be/X7evDQiP3yI

思浩大談經濟大蕭條後第一次，美國失業率大升，出現長龍攞免費食物！(大家真瘋Show 2020)


美國2月分的失業率是3.5%，3月份上升至4.4%。前聯準會（Fed）主席葉倫（Janet Yellen）表示，目前美國的失業率至少是12%或13%。《紐約時報》（NYT）則引述經濟學家預測，4月底之前美國將新增2000萬人失業，將失業率推上15%的高峰，是1930年代大蕭條（Great Depression）之後最嚴重的狀況。
穆迪分析（Moody's Analytics）公司也估計，未來幾周美國的失業數字將「令人咋舌」：4500萬人。這些勞工的行業被列入「非必要」，而且往往無法「在家工作」。美國醫療保險體系非常落後，勞工失業之後往往也會失去健保，雪上加霜。

相關影片:
1. 思浩大談加拿大6歲男童，路邊擺檔講笑話，取得小區鄰居歡心！ (大家真瘋Show 2020) (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRo5WCGZRAo)
2. 思浩大談美國天后麥當娜染疫，隔離期間直播冇人理，大讚病毒成功平衡人口！ (大家真瘋Show 2020) (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DpICnab40o8)
3. 思浩大談台灣著名老千，曾呃陳水扁嘅黃琪復出，扮香港富豪呃口罩！ (大家真瘋Show 2020) (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h9VBivtIPi4)



#大家真瘋Show #2020 #美國 #StayHome #WithMe #跟我一樣 #宅在家

《趙氏讀書生活》，一個歷史學者的視頻，分享學術、社會、政治經濟觀察
收費平台可獲參考資料和專欄分享，請以每月5元或更多的美元支持：https://www.patreon.com/Chiusreading
或於YOUTUBE 上按加入成為會員，可獲影片的參考資料
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCmi1257Mo7v4ors9-ekOq1w/join
https://www.facebook.com/drgavinchiu/
PayPal.me/chiusreading
工作洽談：higavinchiu@gmail.com
#經濟衰退
#中美貿易戰
#中美外交部