I have recently perused Nicholas Kristof’s NYT piece “China’s Man in Washington, Named Trump”(https://nyti.ms/3h2JXh8). One paragraph in particular caught my attention: “A joke in China suggests that Trump’s Chinese name is Chuan Jianguo, or “Build-the-Country Trump.” That’s because Build-the-Country is a common revolutionary name among Communist patriots, and it’s mockingly suggested that Trump’s misrule of the United States is actually bolstering Xi’s regime.”

Kristoff also avows that since Trump’s ascension to presidency, the American nation became highly polarized. This is reflected in the current administration’s policies on climate change, foreign relations with established U.S. allies, and COVID-19 prevention, all of which are rather ineffective. It also seems like Mr. Trump and his team diverged from the traditional priorities, including promoting free trade, human rights, and other quintessentially American values. As described thoroughly by John Bolton, all these factors contributed to the declining standing of the U.S. in global politics.

What is more, many people fall prey to CCP’s propaganda and its interpretations of Trump’s actions, which only enhances China’s reputation.

But that might not exactly be the case.

The CCP apparently failed to utilize the window of opportunity created by the ineptness of the Trump administration, as China could have grown to the position of a leader by filling in the void left by the U.S.

During the 2016 APEC Ministerial Meeting in Lima, Peru, Xi Jinping and his team actively supported the plans to establish the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and a Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific, or FTAAP. In contrast, the United States withdrew its signature from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) in early 2017. Coupled with China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the establishment of the Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB), this move bolstered China’s capacity to influence global investments and trade, high-tech mergers and acquisitions, and, overall, expand its geostrategic influence on the entire globe.

At the same time, various propaganda films about great power competition, military industry, and science and technology surged all at once, and gained remarkable following around the world.

All this provided a window of opportunity for the CCP to slowly change its course. Around the same time, the distrust for POTUS among U.S. allies’ reached its apex. According to polls conducted by the Pew Research Center, the distrust for the U.S. president in the U.K. reached 75%, 72% in Japan, 70% in Australia, and stunning 86% in France.

Had the C.C.P,. begun to open up at that time, or at least resumed the governance style of the Hu-Wen administration, it could have reaped the benefits of promoting liberalism where the U.S. failed to deliver. It was the time for Beijing to gradually enhance freedom of speech domestically, pursue sustainable infrastructural projects, gradually reform unfair barriers to trade, transform its S.O.E.s, strengthen protections for private ownership, and vitalize its start-ups and enterprises.

Moreover, were China to cease the genocide in East Turkestan and refrain from cracking down on Hong Kong's semi-autonomy, it would have greatly enhanced its global international image. Additionally, if paired with slow but steady reforms, Beijing’s respect for sovereignty of its peoples would have attracted a large amount of foreign investment, which in turn would have continued to buttress the country’s growth.

It is China prerogative to remain idle.
It might still be possible for Chinese “Dream” to come true.
Yet, a historic window of opportunity is now closed.

Xi assumed the tools of proscribing and stalling, which are completely antithetical to the aforementioned window of opportunity.

Today, China is more authoritarian, less flexible, and fully deprived of horizontal accountability. Its reliance on wolf warrior diplomacy backfired: for example, the Swedish parliament sought to expel the Chinese ambassador to Stockholm. Also, Prague, the capital of Czechia, terminated its sister-city agreement with Shanghai and instead signed a new one with Taipei. Last but not least, we ought not to forget about the recent fiasco in the relations with the United States who ordered the shutdown of China’s consulate in Houston. All of this took its toll on China’s reputation.

Its international standing and inability to replace the U.S. as the major global power are not the only issues China is currently facing.
As it experiences multiple domestic and international shocks, China struggles to combat the COVID-19 pandemic and tame the disastrous floods of Yangtze River. The swarm of locusts of biblical proportions is also crippling Beijing’s institutional capacity and may soon lead to food shortages. In fact, the precarity of food supply further diminishes the level of trust for Chinese authorities.

In 2019, the Pew Research Center conducted a public opinion survey to examine the international views of China. In the U.S., Argentina, the U.K., Canada, Germany, and Ukraine, only about 30% of respondents claim a favorable view of China.

As the COVID-19 pandemic rages in the U.S., as many as 73% of U.S. respondents view China unfavorably.

Recently, the C.C.P. is losing its focus by continuously shifting targets. In fact, I believe there is no need for the C.C.P.to rely on nationalistic appeals, since in this new century values, business relations, and fair competition are all far more important than greater than delusive blood ties.
China lies only 130 kilometers away from us. Of course, we welcome dialogue and seek to avoid misjudgments. But we also distinguish between the C.C.P. and China. While we do welcome dialogue, but we will not be coerced to talk under unjust preconditions or in fear.

The only fair prerequisites are those of reciprocity, mutual respect as well as fairness and openness with respect for the rule of law.
Source: Pew Research Center

最近看到紐約時報中文版的一篇文章
<美國的川普，中國的「川建國」>，其中一小段是這樣的

「在中國，人們戲稱川普的中文名字是川建國。那是因為建國是共產黨愛國者中一個普遍的革命人名。它在諷刺地暗示川普對美國的治理不當實際上是在鞏固習近平的政權。」

裡面也提到，川普在任的幾年，國家更分裂，對於氣候變遷，傳統美國盟友，乃至於疫情處理等都相當拙劣，對於美國傳統的自由貿易、人權等價值也基本上都沒有太大興趣。這些方針，導致美國在世界的評價降低，波頓的新書也多有描述。

除此之外，許多不幸相信中共宣傳，又或者是中共圈養的小粉紅，特別故意愛宣傳川普增強中國的威望。

但這不是真的。

中共完全沒有掌握美國做得不夠好的地方，去增強其在世界的領導力。

在2016年時，秘魯的亞太峰會舉行期間，習近平政權爭取（RCEP）及亞太自由貿易區（FTAAP）談判；對比2017年初，美國剛宣布退出ＴＰＰ，加上中國到「一帶一路」和亞洲基礎設施投資銀行，中國當時在世界全面發揮投資貿易、高科技併購還有其地緣戰略的影響力。

也是那個時候，各種的大國崛起、大國軍工、大國科技的宣傳影片此起彼落，似乎正準備要在世界舞台發光發熱。

這曾經是中共慢慢轉向的一個機會之窗。彼時（2017)美國盟友對美國總統的不信任度達到歷史新高，根據皮尤研究中心的資訊，英國對於美國總統的不信任度達到75%、日本72% 澳洲70% 法國更高達86%

如果那時中共開始有限度的改革，對內放寬言論自由，或者至少維持在胡溫當時的水中，對外追求有責任的基礎建設，逐步緩慢減低不公平的貿易壁壘，對於國有企業改革，增強私營企業、新創企業的活力。

停止對新疆迫害，不干預香港自治，不僅國際形象會大幅改善，哪怕是緩慢但是穩健的改革，也會讓大量吸引外資，讓中國的活力持續前進。

哪怕是什麼都不做也好

那或許有這麽一點可能性，中國「夢」是可以前行的

但是歷史機緣的大門已經關上。

習、禁、停、放棄了這個機會之窗，徹底的走向相反的方向。

更專制、更沒有彈性，更沒有任何制衡的力量。各種戰狼外交，讓瑞典議員提案驅逐中國大使，捷克布拉格市長與台北簽訂姊妹是，就解散上海與該市關係、被美國關閉領事館、各種讓中國形象低下的事情，中共都沒有少做。

中共不但完全沒有辦法取代美國，在多重國內外的衝擊之下，又是瘟疫，又是超大水患，緊接著蝗害，還有進來的糧食不足問題，正在面臨巨大的瓶頸。

而糧食的命脈，卻恰恰又在對他最不信任，對中共價值最反對的國家聯盟

根據皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center2019調查各國對中國的喜好度，美國、阿根廷、英國、加拿大、德國、烏克蘭等，對於中國的喜好度都在30%上下

而2020疫情後美國對於中國的不信任度，更高達73%。

最近中共在演習，又要玩轉移目標的手段，對於中共，其實不必再有民族主義的同情，因為新的世紀，價值、商業模式、公平競爭的制度大於血緣幻想。

中國離我們只有130公里的距離，我們當然歡迎對話，避免誤判。但我們同時也區分中共與中國，歡迎對話，但不在前提、條件、恐懼之下對話。

如果真的要有前提，那就是對等、尊重，還有公平公開法治的方式會晤。

資料來源：皮尤研究中心:Pew Research Center
（美國著名的民調機構和智庫機構，https://www.pewresearch.org/）

[管理]
[印度管理風格真的跟美式管理風格很不一樣]
[很好奇: 台灣的管理風格跟印度的很像嗎?]

美股盤後新聞: Larry Page steps down as CEO of Alphabet, Sundar Pichai to take over (拉里-佩奇退位; 桑達爾-皮查伊接任Alphabet CEO)

這樣的話, Alphabet, Microsoft, 以及Adobe這些軟體業巨頭的CEO都是印度人了. 為什麼印度人那麼擅長管理? 下面這文章寫得很好.

~~~~~~

印度人擅長溝通的特點，也能透過數據調查佐證。美國南新罕布夏大學（Southern New Hampshire University）在「印度管理者的領導風格」（Leadership Style of Indian Managers）研究，比對印裔與美裔的管理者，發現印度人除了擁有高度專業知識，更具備謙虛的個人特質，像是信任團隊、勇於承擔錯誤等。

這些領袖氣質與適應力，在多位印度執行長身上都清晰可見。比方說，微軟執行長納德拉以「富有同理心」聞名，上任後成功改變企業文化；Google 執行長皮蔡為人內斂，觀察、協調的能力卻很突出，深諳掌握人心的技巧。《日本富比世》（Forbes Japan）曾報導，皮蔡的人緣極佳，好到從未有人在他背後說壞話。

~~~~~~~

4 大優勢，助印度執行長進軍全球企業
印度執行長究竟厲害在哪？印度媒體 ET Now 記者謝伊利．喬普拉（Shaili Chopra）曾在 2014 年世界經濟論壇（World Economic Forum）主持討論會，邀集數名高階經理人，總結出印度執行長的 4 大特質：

1. 習慣面對文化差異
印度巴士票務公司 redBus.in 創辦人費南爪．薩瑪（Phanindra Sama）回憶，他與德州儀器（Texas Instruments）合作時發現，對方從辦公室到停車場的桌椅，都必須統一；但他們在 14 個城市的分公司，辦公室則有不同風格。

2. 在嚴峻的經商環境成長
世界銀行 2017 年的企業經營難易度指數（Ease of Doing Business Index），印度在 190 國中排名 100。印度企業流程管理公司 Vivtera 共同創辦人哈比特．杜格勒（Harpreet Duggal）說，**他們必須從零開始建構商業模式，所以到了制度相對健全的全球企業工作，更游刃有餘。
**

3. 用更少的錢爭取更多資源
印地語中有個詞彙「jugaad」，中文意思近於「尋找替代方案」，例如使用有限資源，開發同等價值的替代品。英格索蘭（Ingersoll Rand）印度分公司前執行長文卡塔斯．瓦盧里（Venkatesh Valluri）比喻，如果中國靠基礎建設，帶動 9% 的業務成長，印度光靠管理，就能提升 8%。

4. 善於解構、分析問題
聽到一個問題，印度人習慣「解構」成數個小問題，不斷挑戰、思辯，這造就了他們敏銳的觀察力，確保業務在各個環節都能成長。杜格勒說，「善於觀察」會帶來創新動能，是印度執行長成功的關鍵優勢。

🇳🇿Day06 【懷托摩螢火蟲洞&奧克蘭機場還車】
今天是趕車的一天，當初很猶豫要不要往陶波來，代價是還車這天要開五小時的車，相對是台北到高雄的距離，光想就累！最終還是為了紐西蘭最大的湖衝一波，去過飛機麥當勞、胡卡瀑布、地熱仙境後～深深覺得陶波來對了。一早到陶波湖走走看看，也有蠻多水上活動，打高爾夫、滑行傘，超級美麗的地方呀！！！在附近吃過壽司，韓國人開的，壽司超大一顆，紐西蘭蠻多壽司店，但包法都很創新，不是傳統日式的口味，還有放韓式炸雞的，整體來說蠻好吃的！
吃完準備趕去懷托摩看螢火蟲，驚覺只剩兩小時半可開，時間嘎得很緊，還好旅太飆車王，路上又少車，他sky葛格上身！快到懷托摩時，才發現我行程寫1點要報到，但其實我買的票是1點40分～哇哈哈，剛剛是在趕什麼的啦！換票時店員讓我們提早進場，裡面完全不能拍照，也沒有中文導覽或簡介，粉粉一直問我導覽說什麼，嗯哼～又是一場聽力測驗大挑戰。進去看鐘乳石洞，導覽特別告知要保持安靜，搭配上暗暗的燈光，洞穴變得更加神秘，但韓國阿珠罵團讓我們回到現實，他們導遊大聲免錢的，讓我們的導覽苦笑再苦笑，也無法制止！進到裡面，可聽到毛利人導覽美麗的歌聲，走到一處，就見到傳說的螢火蟲發著美麗的藍光，然後導遊瞬間開燈，原型畢露，真的是一絲一絲的蠕蟲，但我不禁納悶？蟲不是怕光咩？？？可這樣直接開燈的咩？？？
　
接下來就是重頭戲，全部人一起乘船看螢火蟲，真的好美～藍色光隨著洞穴的起伏，有深有淺，就像是在看星空銀河一樣，不過航道比我想像的短，好想再多停留一些呀！！出來後疑心病發作，在那麼暗的地方也看不清蟲的模樣，且全程不能拍照，只看得到藍光，會不會其實我們看的是LED燈呢？？？
深怕大喉嚨魯魯吵到旅客，事先跟他約定要安靜看完營火蟲，等下就能買冰，他卻在要搭船前就昏睡了～等我們看完，他也醒了～問我現在要去搭船看螢火蟲嗎？我說看完了呀～你睡著了！這小子就開始歡『那還能吃冰嗎？』靠～斷片哥倒是挺精靈的！
　
粉粉終於在此買到了紀念品，兩隻很美的筆，但他一直擔心會不會很快沒水（那不是重點好咩）結帳時店員示範才知道寫的時候還會發光耶！魯魯再次買了冰，觀光地區的販賣部價格果然很驚人，兩支冰的前跟兩支筆價格一樣….
　
接下來繼續趕路回奧克蘭機場，途中GOOGLE導航問我們是否改道更快，還好選擇跟進，經過高速公路看到好像有事故大塞車好長一段距離。趕車非常想睡，尤其途中魯魯一直哭要媽媽抱，更是讓旅太抓狂，阿母我也跟著遭殃，被說太寵孩子，導致孩子那麼壞（🤷‍♀️翻白眼ing）
　
還車時間六點，原本想選七點，但超過營業時間會加錢20紐幣，就六點唄。到奧克蘭機場時還有半小時，距離飯店很近，所以先去飯店卸行李，感謝谷歌大神，能讓我即時查要怎麼跟櫃台溝通，放完行李，再衝去附近加油（規定要加滿油才能還車，領到車時也是滿油狀態），台灣信用卡在紐西蘭加油站都無法按pin碼，一時很緊張（奇怪，那為何去飯店用信用卡就可以按略過？），正緊張時發現可以入內繳，我趕緊衝去超商櫃檯繳錢，加油站旁有垃圾桶，旅太順便卸垃圾，順利開回機場店還車，檢查員稍微查看後～就說all done，把借據還回給我，咦？不用蓋章什麼的咩？？我一直問～done了嗎？？立馬就收到租車中心的mail，內容是感謝我們租車～請我們填評價，我才放心離開！租車中心還有免費接駁車可回飯店或機場，整個很方便。
　
ibis這間機場快捷酒店離機場蠻近的，附近也有超市跟小美食街，價格也不算貴，還算不賴，北島之旅也在今天告一段落，明天就要搭乘紐西蘭航空飛南島環島囉！！！
　
✈️：Air New Zealand
📍： 陶波Taupo > 懷托摩螢火蟲洞Waitomo Glowworm Caves > 奧克蘭機場Auckland
🚗：apex car rentals
🛏：ibis Budget Auckland Airport

逢星期五Happy Friday每星期直播打機
同大家一齊吹下水
Origin依家可以改中文...
我都想改番個
大家有咩意見 :)
#ApexLegends #遊戲直播 #得閒打下機
你地支持就係我繼續直播努力:
https://linktr.ee/SlientHui