今天, 應該是最炫最酷的一家公司, Robinhood, 上市的一天. 它獲利了嗎? 我想沒有多少投資人會care. 最關心的, 應該是它的營收成長率, 還有股價.

在我們一直追逐科技成長股, 被他們的高營收成長率, 潛在的高報酬昏眩的時候, 會不會忘記他們醜得要命的財務報表?

而在今年, 大家追逐的這些趨勢股表現不佳的時候, 是不是也給了我們一些省思?

其實美股中, 還有很多財務報表漂亮, 但聽起來一點也不有趣(甚至很無聊)的公司, 但他們股價穩定, 長期下來, 也給了投資人很大的回報. 像之前介紹過的POOL, 過去幾年也是平均一年翻一倍的漲幅.

而在IPO中, 也有這類的好公司.

Carrier Global(CARR), 2020年4月上市的IPO, 算是工業類股, 漲了快5倍. 有在獲利. (開利冷氣應該有聽過?就是這家公司)

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO), 民生消費股, 也有獲利, 2020年10月上市的IPO, 目前也漲了3倍.

下面這篇文章挺好. 與大家分享. 就像文章作者所提的, 龜兔賽跑, 穩(漲)的烏龜, 不一定會輸.

也祝福大家找到&培養自己的能力圈, 穩穩獲利.

Jim Cramer: The Biggest Thing That Happened Thursday Was the Boring Stuff

No, it wasn't Robinhood or the mega-cap tech companies, it was names we depend on like Carrier Global.
By JIM CRAMER Jul 29, 2021 | 03:38 PM EDT

Stocks quotes in this article: HOOD, FB, PYPL, CARR, RTX, NUE, AGCO, ZM, ALGN, AAPL, EBAY, AMD, XLNX

One of the most glorious things I have seen involving the stock market in ages happened today.

Was it Vlad Tenev ringing the opening bell for his breakthrough, disruptive Robinhood (HOOD) , representing 22 million mostly young new investors? Was it the free-for-all decline in the stock of the "F" in FAANG, Facebook (FB) ? Or the clobbering that Paypal (PYPL) took after what looked to be a good quarter?

Nah. I was bumping into Dave Gitlin, CEO of Carrier Global (CARR) , and his charming daughter, a college student at the University of Wisconsin. They were calmly waiting for me to finish "Squawk on the Street" to say, "Hi," and I couldn't be more thrilled. Because unlike the much ballyhooed Robinhood deal, which seems like a bust, Carrier Global came public back in April 2020 at $12 and today, after tremendous earnings, not sales, but earnings, it made an all-time high at $53, after reporting a terrific number with tremendous HVAC sales, up 31%, and an earnings surprise of 55 cents vs. the 30 cents that Wall Street was expecting.

Carrier, which was spun off when United Technologies merged with Raytheon (RTX) had some tailwinds, like the need to have clean air inside, because of the pandemic and clear air outside because office buildings are responsible for 40% of carbon emissions. But the huge upside surprise and the gigantic buyback belonged to Dave and his team and I that's what I told his daughter. I made sure she knew how proud she should be about how this man made so much money for people. Twelve to 53 in 15 months time is the name of the game.

Look, I am not trying to take away from anything that Robinhood and its co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev have created. Far from it. They have created billions for themselves and are now letting people participate in their great sales growth. You got a chance to pay a fortune per share and many Robinhoodies did, as tons of stock was allocated to the 22 million people who joined Robinhood, because of a bang up app that every young person seems to know.

I am simply saying that HVAC, yep heating, ventilation and air conditioning is one of the most boring businesses on earth and at times like today, with all of the hoopla of Robinhood it is easy to forget is how lots of money can be made being boring, and I like that. The most exciting thing that happened this year is Carrier helped provide refrigeration for vaccines. That's just fine with me.

Unlike Robinhood, Carrier hasn't brought anyone into the stock market. It's more laser-like focus on air conditioning once spun off from Raytheon means nothing to people. Just Wall Street gibberish. But you have probably walked by a Carrier machine thousands of times and never thought anything of it. Yet, you could have bought it for a song at six times earnings instead of 25 times sales.

The Carriers, with CEOs who pay themselves lavishly but perhaps not excessively, or the Nucor's (NUE) the steel company that's also well managed and sells at six times earnings, represent valuable properties, especially when the U.S. government is about to agree on a trillion dollar infrastructure bill and the country has more than 6% GDP. We don't know why they are re-opening trades or closing trades, delta-variant trades or building and bridge investments. Forgive me, though for comparing the company of Robinhood, with something that may stay special for a while vs. companies that get described as venerable, solid and built to last.

These companies are not rarities. You know people have to eat, right? You know that there would be famine without farming. So why not buy the stock of Agco (AGCO) , No. 2 farm equipment, which went from $40 to $130 in a year and a half without ever being expensive. Combines too boring? Again fine with me. Now that the masks are off -- or at least in some places, although Zoom (ZM) is still crushing it -- I, like many others, including my daughter, didn't like how her teeth looked even as, to me, they were perfect. Dentists tell you to get Align (ALGN) . I wanted them on "Mad Money" but the show was just too darned jammed. The stock's up the most in the S&P 500, with a product that, again, like the Purloined Letter, is right in front of you.

I love tech. Created the term FANG, added the "A" when it was clear that Apple (AAPL) had to take the acronymic stage between another "A" and an "N." I am proud that those who bet against me on Twitter, the legion, are betting against FAANG. I wrote obituaries for a goodly time in my career as a reporter but I never wrote as many as have been penned to talk about the group has already made the ultimate measure on behalf of shareholders.

Oh and it's not like I don't like tech or fin tech. I felt the slings and arrows of Facebook and PayPal today. Facebook's management once again lowered the boom on its future talking about real deceleration in growth. I thought it was too dire. PayPal's Dan Schulman talked about how the separation with its former partner, eBay (EBAY) gets done now and earnings will be hurt. This was one of the least revelatory surprises ever. I think both are practicing UPOD, Underpromising to Overdeliver, and, sure this time might be different, but it's sure been the way they have handled it in the past.

Far better to be in the straight out blow outs like Advance Micro (AMD) which had still one more banner day, this time because the company it is buying, the dowdy Xilinx (XLNX) , a sleepy semiconductor company, had tremendous earnings. The two together could be unassailable and even as AMD is now richly valued it is deservingly so.

I can't wait to hear Vlad Tenev's reflection on Robinhood's debut as a public company and about the novel offering that gave millions of shares to his clients. Vlad's not so much a rags to riches American story. He's a poor Bulgarian to insanely rich American because of his on ingenuity. That's a story with celebrating in itself.

I am simply pointing out that unlike Vlad, whom you would have had invested with when you weren't allowed or able to, Dave Gitlin sure didn't keep you out of the better bet, the stock of HVAC king Carrier.

You did.

【時代天使最新認購攻略】
文章連結: https://www.patreon.com/posts/52048038

時代天使 (6699)
招股上限市值: 286.8亿港元

(一) 根據行業報告，中國「隱形箍牙」市場集中，按2020年的達成案例計，前兩大市場參與者的市佔率超過八成，而時代天使市佔率約為41%，在中國市場擁有龍頭地位。

(二) 時代天使主要業務為「隱形箍牙」，擁醫美概念，有炒作元素。同業主要競爭者美股艾利科技 (ALGN)市值達3,500億港元，歷史市盈率達100倍，股價持續創新高，證明此行業有增長前景。

(三) 招股文件顯示，時代天使業績理想，去年收入8.17億元（人民幣，下同）增長26%；盈利1.5億元，按年升123%。扣除特殊項目的經調整純利2.27億元，增長74.6%。時代天使去年收入8.16億元人民幣，毛利率高。毛利達5.75億元，相當於毛利率70.4% 較前兩年的63.8%、64.6%再度提高，2020年利潤率也有18.3%。

(四)

時代天使認購攻略:

想閱讀全文，可訂閱: https://www.patreon.com/kidsinvesthk

上週美股的走勢震盪，不過這周就已經扳平跌幅
昨天S&P500與納斯達克又再度創下新高
在上周的講座與粉絲團
我都提到不管是以基本面或是型態面來看
這邊應該都是有止穩回升的條件
持股水位我自己也有提高

最近常被問到判斷高低點跟加減碼的問題
判斷高低點是很困難的
如果你認為現在是高點
比較好的作法是減碼但不清空
留有部位給他跑　就算之後Ｖ轉也不怕賺不到

而加減碼是很彈性的
重點是採取主動　而不是被迫停損
如果一切都照自己的規劃來走
損失有限，獲利則有更大的空間來給他走

上周因話題而轉強的公司，股價在昨天反而有更大的跌幅
美國財政部長Yellen與SEC討論近期市場的動盪
也讓投機的氣氛降了許多 更多人是獲利了解 先閃為安
GameStop(GME)下跌42%，股價已來到每股53.34美元
AMC也下跌21%，回到每股7.09美元

短期看市場氛圍 長期仍回到基本面
昨天初領失業救濟金數據優於預期
下降了3.3萬至77.9萬優於市場預期，也是最近九個禮拜的低點
而更重要的是今晚的非農就業數據
讓市場可以更確定經濟恢復的狀況
是否仍在復甦的軌道上

企業的財報紛紛開出　大多數都是優於預期的
昨天Paypal(PYPL)因為亮麗的財報而上漲7.4%

另外也有幾家我長期追蹤的公司
包括Align(ALGN) 隱形牙套隱適美的母公司
再繳出亮麗的財報 營收年增28.4%後股價大漲12.6%
這檔股票在去年7月介紹後
股價從每股298美元到現在已經來到615美元
其實業務內容很單純 就是隱形牙套跟口腔內掃描儀的銷售
市場規模其實是大的 但之前因為景氣與競爭而逆風下跌
因為牙套這東西也從必需轉為消費品(奢侈品)
使用者除了功能性更在乎美觀 而擴大的服務的基數
所以在每季財報追蹤時只要需要了解採用與出貨狀況
各地市場的成長表現
就可以知道公司的營運是否處在良好的軌道上

Canada Goose(GOOS)
Canada Goose(GOOS)是我最近才開始關注的公司
原因是我看到國外新聞說買他要開始排隊了XD
之前疫情的關係 股價跌了一陣
在前段時間翻回年線之上
加上消息面這個線索 缺的只是一個更強勢的催化劑
在最新的財報中營收年增4.8%來到4.74億美元，是疫情後表現最佳
利潤率有顯著提升，每股盈餘0.96美元
且直接面對消費者渠道的表現也優於預期，年成長39.3%

Pinterest(PINS)
Pinterest(PINS)應是眾所矚目，也超乎預期
營收7.06億美元，年增76%(狂)
美國年增67%；國際市場年增145%
月活躍用戶成長37%來到4.6億
APRU為1.57美元，年增29%
股價盤後直接上漲10%

反觀SNAP(Snap)雖然營收與獲利也優於預期
營收年增62%，每股虧損較去年也縮窄
但公司提到一月時因國會大廈暴動
許多品牌商都暫停投放廣告
Q1的財報可能會有負面影響
股價盤後下跌7.4%

還有其他財報跟有趣的消息
下午兩點跟IEO x Jay的全球交易室 開了一個財經尬聊
可以去 IEObserve 國際經濟觀察 的限動提問
也可以在下方留言提問
會有專人為您服務XD

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