🌻
美國聯準會（Fed）在美東時間22日下午2時（台灣23日凌晨2時）宣布利率維持在趨近零的水準，但暗示升息可能會比預期來得快一些，同時也大幅下修今年的經濟展望。

https://udn.com/news/story/6811/5764746

🌻Adobe(ADBE)電話會議內容讀後感

ADBE前兩天發表財報了.

這次ADBE在財報後下跌, 主要是兩個原因(如下). 不過個人覺得是瑕不掩瑜:
1. 因為之前已經漲了不少(投資人期望太高)
2. 因為Digital Marketing這部分的業務受到季節性的影響, 所以表現不是很突出(沒有比預期高出很多)
a. net new Digital Media ARR (3% beat vs guide, vs 15% beat in 2Q21 vs 35% beat in 3Q20).
b. 有分析師在問(“Maybe just -- can we double-click on the seasonality commentary in the quarter? Because if we look at the beat versus guidance on net new digital media ARR, it looks, at the same time you had the weakest beat, but then the strongest guide in the last three years, which kind of speaks to and confirm some of those seasonality comments that you made.)
i. 高層對此的回答是, 主要是疫情後, 加上正值夏季, 大家的日子回復到正常&放假外出, 所以這部分的業務有受到影響(I think going into the quarter, we had expected that the consumer with a little bit more return to normalcy as what's happening in the environment.)
ii. 高層又說了一些話, 不過重點就是他不認為這是甚麼大事”So, net-net, I would say that the growth prospects for that particular business and the growth drivers remain intact. But again, very much in line. And this is what we feel good about the insights that we're getting on the business.”
iii. 也提到, Q4通常會是digital marketing業務的旺季(表現會不俗的意思)

另外, 覺得這次令我印象深刻的是, 當高層與分析師提到這些事情:
• 常在一些公司的電話會議中提到omnichannel這個字(疫情後, 更明顯了). 這次高層也有提到. ADBE可說是omnichannel概念股:
o “I mean, a big part of that is more and more companies are thirdly doing the multi-channel omnichannel, whatever they want to call it. And I think that's only going to continue to be a driver of our Digital Experience Solutions. Because today that stable stakes and so we just look at it and say whether you're shopping in-store over they are shopping online. You need a solution that treats you like a customer that we know of.”
• 網路上影片(video)的興起, 以及串流影音, 有提高了Adobe的營收天花板(用句分析師的術語, 就是TAM (total addressable market) expansion.
• 當使用者製作了越來越多的內容, 內容管理(content management)的能力就越顯重要, 內容上的流程管理(workflow)也越顯重要. Adobe的產品能夠幫內容製作者解決這樣的問題.
• 而Adobe各產品間的相容性, 標準化, 整合能力, 是它的競爭優勢之一:
o And one of the things we did really well is what we called our named user deployment and how, you know, when we have these enterprise licensing agreements, we offer enterprises the ability to download and distribute within the companies. And the more we do training and evangelism of the products, that leads to adoption. So, I would say there's an element of standardization, there's an element of more content.

而最近ADBE有個新聞, 引起了我的注意, 就是它即將在自己的平台上, 提供付款服務(payment service). 根據之前研究SHOP的經驗, 這有可能會對股價造成一定的漲幅:
On Sept. 15, Adobe announced that it will add payment services to its e-commerce platform this year to help merchants accept credit cards and other ways of paying. The move will deepen Adobe's rivalry with e-commerce firm Shopify (SHOP).
For the service, Adobe has partnered with PayPal (PYPL), which will process a variety of payment types, including credit and debit cards as well as PayPal's own payment and buy-now-pay-later offerings.
https://www.investors.com/news/technology/adbe-stock-adobe-beats-fiscal-q3-targets/

接下來該怎麼辦? 對於基本面良好的公司如ADBE, 我能說的就是buy the dip(逢低買進)了. 供參.

🌻The Facebook Files
一個星期前, WSJ上面有個關於FB的大篇幅調查報導. 有興趣的可以看看.
The Facebook Files
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-facebook-files-11631713039

這篇文章挺長, 也沒有看到華爾街中文版本的完整翻譯, 不過可以看看這篇:
https://on.wsj.com/2ZmFimp

"《華爾街日報》的相關調查顯示，這家社交媒體巨頭心知肚明，其平台會傷害用戶，而且是以該公司常常完全了解的方式造成傷害。目前，全球近半數人口都是Facebook旗下平台的用戶。其中一些證據尤其令人不安：據《華爾街日報》報導，Facebook的內部研究顯示，在報告稱有過自殺念頭的青少年中當中，有13%的英國用戶和6%的美國用戶把這種念頭歸結於Instagram。"

另一篇相關新聞:
https://www.thenewslens.com/article/156683

"《華爾街日報》於13日揭露Facebook的XCheck系統，也就是內部系統中的VIP名單，數百萬名人、政治人物與記者等知名公眾人物都在特別的一份「白名單」之內。"

"這些「貴賓」在社群上發布的內容可以躲過一般的審查系統，即使發布明顯的不當內容，也不會立即被刪除。《衛報》報導，Facebook的獨立監督委員會表示，在閱讀該篇報導後，決定要審查XCheck系統，並要求Facebook對其進行報告與解釋。"

🌻我喜歡的Apple TV影集, "Ted Lasso", 是這次艾美獎的大贏家, 很多主要演員都得獎了.

很高興這兩年, 因為有這部戲的陪伴, 讓我撐過了疫情, 家人離世, 以及一些烏煙瘴氣的事情.

前幾天看演員的得獎影片, 一位娛樂記者問得獎的男配角(也是編劇之一)說, 你覺得這部片的核心思想是甚麼. 他說, be curious, not judgemental.

就像得獎的女演員在劇中一開始是很鴨霸很壞心的球隊主人, 但這樣做是因為被前夫傷透了心, 所以想要弄垮離婚後分到的財產(也是前夫的最愛--球隊); 外表看起來永遠陽光燦爛做啦啦隊的男主角, 在青少年時父親自殺, 造成了他心裡永遠的痛&障礙(讓他在球賽時, 會有突發恐懼症).

我們每個人其實都有很多面, 很多個故事. 尤其在社群, 大家都是萍水相逢, 對彼此的了解都是非常片面的; 而有時候在社群裡, 看到有人會因為只看到一個面向, 就去下斷語. 這其實是人之常情很難避免, 所以我們需要常用第二層思考去提醒自己. 社群裡需要更多的同理心.

“Be curious, not judgmental” – Walt Whitman(惠特曼)(美國詩人)

Picture來源:
https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2021/09/apples-global-hit-comedy-series-ted-lasso-sweeps-the-2021-primetime-emmy-awards-scoring-history-making-win-for-outstanding-comedy-series/

曾經一直以為，這輩子會安份的做個小鎮醫生。但隨著時空變遷，慢慢知道終究只是個理想。除非自己開業，若要一直待在區域醫院裡，儘管住院病患照顧的再好，門診病患檢查業績再多，還是會被醫院管理階層或是醫研部門逼著走上「為了配合醫院評鑑的研究（不寫論文就將減薪）之路」。
⠀⠀
之前因蔡校長之故，很早就注意到新思惟國際如火如荼般進行中的課程，但怕門檻很高的關係，不敢擅自報名。直到醫評研究之路，也如火如荼的開始（減薪）之後，對於新手醫師來說是個挑戰；而對半老鳥醫師（但研究零分）的我來說，或許是個改變自己老油條想法的契機。
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【#全新改款】國際級學者，教你寫作投稿的重點！　
年末僅此一班 ➠ 10/17（日）臨床研究與發表工作坊
立即報名 ➠ https://clip2014.innovarad.tw/event/
⠀⠀
⠀⠀
👉 由專業的講師帶大家從 0 到 1
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上完課發現，這正是我所需的，猶如兩位吳醫師的開宗明義閳言：醫學研究六大能力、先求有再求好；從個案少的研究初心者等級開始，記得自己的動機，規劃逐步達成的目標，或許比較不會讓自己有好高騖遠的幻想。
⠀⠀
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👉 兩個小時做出投稿級圖表
⠀⠀
經歷只不過兩個多小時的按表操課，也能做出一張張名稱既嚇人又饒舌的統計圖表：Mann-Whitney test、Wilcoxon test、Kruskal-Wallis test，甚至還包括常在夢中 聽到的 ROC curve analysis 及 Kaplan-Meier survival analysis 等。看到自己親手在電腦上畫出熱騰騰的統計圖表存檔，還是忍不住會說出一聲：what’s amazing！（翻譯：這是什麼巫術？）
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👉 跟著國際學者走，寫作投稿都上手！
⠀⠀
#這堂課將與你分享　
☑️ 國際期刊如何審稿？第一眼就被喜歡的關鍵。
☑️ 臨床論文寫作，常見錯誤與如何避免。
☑️ 新手都能懂的統計：實作前的介紹
☑️ 讓 revision 幾乎全被 accept 的關鍵技巧
☑️ 在中小型醫院工作，論文起步的務實建議。
☑️ 研究主題怎麼找？研究資源如何累積？
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立即報名 ➠ https://clip2014.innovarad.tw/event/

【力量訓練的「訓練量」該如何設定？】

跑者的訓練量俗稱「跑量」，單位是「公里」，所以月跑量三百是指一個月總訓練距離300公里。在力量訓練圈的「訓練量」（Training Volume）常是「總反覆次數」 （Total Repetition）的同義詞；而「月總量」就是指一個月的總反覆次數，像我們會建議初跑者的月跑量最好不要超過100公里一樣，在做重訓時，有沒有一個區間可以讓大家參考呢？下面是《The System》的作者群建議：

#以下為譯文：
以剛接觸訓練的新手來說，月總量最好從750次（總反覆次數）開始；而菁英運動員的上限設在1,600次。在前蘇聯時代，我們親眼看到他們運動員以更高的月總量進行訓練。然而，我們後來也發現這跟他們使用加強運動表現的補給品有關，那使運動員能更快恢復。

總反覆次數是指在單一個週期中（這裡是指中週期）所有基本力量動作重複次數的總合。因此總反覆次數750的意思是在不同的訓練強度與動作中總共累計的次數，但這個數字不包括輔助訓練的動作。

從帳面上來看，750這個數字分配到一個月十二到十六次課表當中，看起來似乎很小，但我們這們所定的750這個數字比較像是「基本量」，而非下限，如果總反覆次數低於750下，就不會為運動員的成長帶來實質的影響。表 4.14 中的數值並不是意味著高水平或菁英運動員在四週內的總反覆次數永遠不會有低於1,000次情況發生，那只是維持成長的基本量。對運動員的恢復能力影響最大的是訓練量，因此這些範圍中比較需要注意的是上限的數值。若月總量超過上限值，恢復能力將快速到受到侵害，而且侵害的速度比任何其他因素都快。

一位菁英水準的運動員可以在一個月的時間裡完成1,000次以下的訓練，就算在恢復期也經常發生。然而，訓練新手若超過1,000次的上限，大都要承擔受傷或嚴重過度訓練的風險。

許多教練擔心他們的運動員練不夠，所以無法有效獲得力量和爆發力的進步。他們不想因為目標定得太低而有所保留，這讓他們感覺是「浪費」了一個月的訓練時間。剛開始採用這個方法來訓練時有這種感覺很自然，我們系統中的每一位教練也都曾經歷過相同的掙扎。

美國的力量教練已經把「訓練要用盡全力」當作一種信念，訓練完還有餘力好像就會覺得不夠認真。但請相信我們。我們說的方法很少失敗，也幾乎沒有過度訓練的風險，這些區間已被證明能最有效地幫助運動員進步。

在調整運動員的訓練量時，需要考慮到他們的技巧、經驗、過去的醫療史、訓練史、性別、實際年齡與訓練年齡。

我們過去的慘痛教訓可以讓你少走許多彎路。當你在訓練量的拿捏上猶豫不決時，原則是寧少勿多。寧可因量太少沒進步，也不要犯下過量訓練的錯誤。

總訓練量不包括輔助訓練或是特別針對「局部效果」的練習次數。那些動作主要是為了強化特定肌肉或是使全身力量動作能做得更好的輔助性訓練，所以我們不會把它們算在總訓練量中。
最受我們重視的力量訓練動作不只對身體的負擔很大，技術要求也很高；正因如此，我們才會嚴格限制訓練量。

雖然輔助訓練不會被計算在總訓練量裡，但你不要因此失控，開始加練很多你想練的輔助動作。永遠記住：效率第一。

#原文如下
The absolute floor of volume for a novice athlete is 750 total exercise repetitions per month, and the ceiling for the elite athlete is 1,600 total reps. During our time in the former Soviet Republics, we witnessed athletes performing even higher monthly training volumes. However, as we found later, that was often with the benefit of performance-enhancing substances that allowed for more rapid recovery.

In a single cycle, the total number of repetitions pertains to all exercises performed in the key movements. This means 750 total repetitions are spread between the different exercises among the range of training intensities we want to emphasize.

On the surface, these can seem like small numbers when we consider they may be spread out over 12 to 16 training sessions. That 750-rep total is really more like the basement rather than the floor of total volume—any less than 750 will not budge the needle on gains. That does not mean advanced or elite-level athletes will not have cycles that dip below 1,000 reps. These ranges should be more prescriptive of the ceiling of higher volumes to avoid exceeding. Pushing monthly volume beyond these ranges erodes recovery more rapidly than any other factor.

An elite-level athlete can use a month with a total volume of under 1,000 reps, as will often be the case when returning to training. However, a novice athlete can rarely exceed the 1,000-rep ceiling without risking an injury or a significant overtraining effect.

Many coaches worry their athletes will not do enough work to promote gains in strength and power. They do not want to “waste” a month by aiming too low on total volume and leaving some gains in the tank. That is a natural feeling when adopting this method, and each of us went through the same mental struggle.

Strength coaches in America are not hard-wired to accept less than maximum. However, trust us when we say that without fail, these ranges have proven to be the most effective in generating progress with almost no risk of overtraining.

Fine-tuning where your athletes fall in a volume range takes skill, experience, and consideration of their medical and training history, biological and training age, and gender.
The bloody trail of our mistakes can save you a lot of added stress: When in doubt, it is always better to err on the side of less volume than too much.

The total volume number does not include accessory work or exercises of “local effect.” Those exercises are more targeted muscle strengthening or exercises to support the main movements.

We are mainly concerned about the most physically taxing exercises that demand more of an athlete’s attention to technique—hence, the volume restrictions.

Although the accessory work is not included in the volume calculations, you still cannot go wild, adding as much as you want. Always remember this: efficiency first.
(以上摘錄自原文第132~133)
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若有發現翻譯不到位或有問題的地方，非常歡迎也希望各界指正！

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Lyrics:

I'm never gonna change your mind
我永遠不會去改變你的想法
And I won't ever treat you right
甚至不會待你有絲毫的客氣
Never forget me, heaven accept me
你可別忘記我 連天堂都會接受我
I'll just go, oh-oh, oh
現如今我要離開了
I'm never gonna change your mind
因為我永遠不會去改變你的想法
And I won't ever treat you right
甚至不會待你有絲毫的客氣
Never forget me, heaven accept me
你可別忘記我，連天堂都會接受我
I'll just go, oh-oh, oh
現如今我真的要走了
(Goodbye)
（再見）

I thought I loved you
我曾以為深愛著你
But realized I don't want to
後來逐漸意識到這並非我本意
Sometimes we think ahead of life
有時候我們會提前暢想未來
I'm tellin' you it don't feel right
但現在我告訴你“感覺不太妙”
And even if it was good, I didn't feel the way I should
而就算感覺良好 我也會對
To give you all that you deserved
“給予你應得的一切”提出質疑
But you took it bad and now I'm hurt
你說你受夠了 這讓我很受傷
I said it's fine, you know I lied to keep it cool
我撒謊安慰自己冷靜 被你識破
But we'll keep bein' fools, so I
但我們都寧願天真下去 因此我
Hope you're okay, won't tell
希望你一切安好 不會
Your face, 'cause you don't care
將情緒寫在臉上 因為你毫不在意
And I know you don't think that's fair, oh
我知道你覺得這不公平

I'm never gonna change your mind
我永遠不會去改變你的想法
And I won't ever treat you right
甚至不會待你有絲毫的客氣
Never forget me, heaven accept me
你可別忘記我，連天堂都會接受我
I'll just go, oh-oh, oh
現如今我要離開了
I'm never gonna change your mind
因為我永遠不會去改變你的想法
And I won't ever treat you right
甚至不會待你有絲毫的客氣
Never forget me, heaven accept me
你可別忘記我，連天堂都會接受我
I'll just go, oh-oh, oh
現如今我真的要走了

The first time that we met, I thought you were the one
初遇時 以為你會是我唯一的癡情
We were dancin' at 2 AM until we saw the sun
我們從淩晨兩點共舞直到地平線緩緩升起暖陽
You walked into my heart but
你步入了我的心房但
Hearts don't always end up in the right place
心動卻總是不在對的一瞬間停留
I said goodbye to the thing that I thought I loved
是時候與我所認為的愛情說再見了
I can't go back to the kiss where it all begun
再不能夠回到初吻那一刻 那一切的開端
I see the hurt in your face and
你的臉龐有傷痛的痕跡
I wish that I could wipe it all away
而我希望我能就此抹去
And I tried so hard to want this love
我曾那麼努力地嘗試保留這份感情
We're hangin' on, but now I'm givin' up so
從頭到尾都在堅持 但現在我要放棄了
Trust me when I say that I've done
相信我 我已經想盡一切辦法了
All that I can do, and maybe we're both just fools and I know
也許我們都是愛情中的傻瓜 而我知道

I'm never gonna change your mind
我永遠不會去改變你的想法
And we won't ever get this right
而我們也不可能長久地彼此陪伴
Never forget me, heaven accept me
你可別忘記我 連天堂都會接受我
Just let go, oh-oh, oh
就讓一切都隨風飄散吧
I'm never gonna change your mind
畢竟我永遠不會去改變你的想法
And I won't ever treat you right
甚至不會待你有絲毫的客氣
Never forget me, heaven accept me
你可別忘記我，連天堂都會接受我
I'll just go, oh-oh, oh
我現在就要離開了
(Goodbye)
（再見）

歌詞翻譯: chao江江

#SarcasticSounds​ ​ #changeurmind​ #Lyrics #ClaireRosinkranz​ #ClintonKane #西洋歌曲推薦

Don't forget to turn on the bell icon for future uploads 🔔✔️
西洋音樂愛好者✨這裡不會有冗長的介紹文卻是個讓你挖歌的好地方😎

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🌸本影片與 Jupita 合作宣傳🌸
想讓更多人認識你的聲音嗎?歡迎投稿😎
Submit your music 👉ginamusictaiwan@gmail.com
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____________________________________________________
Social Media:

▶ Download / Stream link : https://jupitamusic.com/nostalgic/

👑Jupita:
https://open.spotify.com/user/vv71z589v9g3fxnuurmlp4lrk
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCiV5_x7hvgwDU39VY3BkXIg
https://www.instagram.com/jupitamusic/

👑Seum Dero:
https://www.facebook.com/SeumDero
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCXj49CZ1My8-w7Ikt5xFxyg

👑Denise Buckle
https://www.instagram.com/denise.buckle/
https://www.facebook.com/DeniseBuckle01/

----------------------------------------------------------

Lyrics:

I can't win, I can't reign
我無力獲勝 我無法稱霸
I will never win this game
我將永不能贏得這場遊戲
Without you, without you
如若沒有你 沒有你

I am lost, I am vain,
迷失彷徨 空虛徒勞
I will never be the same
我將永不能達成現在的成就
Without you, without you
如若沒有你 沒有你

I won't run, I won't fly
我無法飛奔 我無法翱翔
I will never make it by
我將永不能達到彼岸
Without you, without you
如若沒有你 沒有你

I can't rest, I can't fight
我無法停歇 我無力抗爭
All I need is you and I
我只想要你我相依相伴
Without you, without you
如若沒有你 沒有你

Can't erase, so I'll take blame
無法釋懷將你抹去 我會承擔起罪責
But I can't accept that we're estranged
但卻無法接受你我如今已形同陌路
Without you, without you
如若沒有你 沒有你

I can't quit now, this can't be right
我不能就此輕言放棄 這樣真的不對
I can't take one more sleepless night
我無法承受又一個不眠之夜
Without you, without you
如若沒有你 沒有你

歌詞翻譯:君天王

#WithoutYou #SeumDero #DeniseBuckle #Lyrics #輕電音

我們的社會最美的地方
是我們有很多各式各樣的人。
大家都是有自己的特色而這些的 「不一樣」都是讓我們獨特而發光。
希望我們可以多一點同理心與關懷對於每一個人在這個社會
因為我們都是一樣在於
「我們都不一樣」。
那才是美.

蔡依林 Jolin Tsai 這首歌真的太棒了。我有一天聽完想到了這個cover MV裡面的劇情。有的時候，不了解我們的人都是有他們自己的恐懼與害怕。只是要懂得如何達成一個橋樑，讓別人去了解，那才是有機會讓我們互相成長。謝謝所有幫我一起完成次作品的朋友們。我真的很感謝你們！（請往下滑來認識這些talented people）

來慶祝 Pride Month。 Be proud of who you are

Our society is beautiful.
We have so many different people living together; each person with his or her own uniqueness.
Our differences is what gives us "color" and what makes each and every one of us special in our own ways.
We should learn to embrace these colors, rather than use our differences to separate us and categorize into "normal" and "abnormal."
I sincerely hope that in time, people in our society start to accept each other for who they are, and appreciate the differences rather than fear them. Our differences are make us individually unique and beautiful.

Jolin Tsai's song "Womxnly" is one of my favorite songs. Not only was her original composition amazing, but also the lyrics. I came up with this storyline for my cover music video one day while listening to this song, and I am grateful for all of those who made it possible to create. Please take the time to look at the credits at the bottom of the description.
Hope you like the video.

In celebration of the pride month~ Be proud of who you are.

【Credits】
「玫瑰少年 Womxnly」
原唱：蔡依林 Jolin
作詞：蔡依林、五月天阿信、歌詞協力: 陳怡茹
作曲：剃刀蔣、蔡依林
編曲：劉傑洛 Ziro Liu / IG: ziroliu

主演 Actors：
郭濬瑋(女王）/ IG：queen0214queen0214
樊小蕓 Sharon Landon / IG: thesharonlandon
田雨璇 Anna Tian / IG: annatian0408

導演/攝影 Director/Videographer：
Tom Chen / IG: tom.tom.yjc

後製 Post-Production：
Tom Chen

編劇 Storyboard： 榮忠豪 Stephen Rong / IG: therongone

妝髮 Make-up/Hair：
田雨璇 Anna Tian / IG: annatianmakeup

翻譯Translations
Charlie Rong 榮忠誠 / IG: chenchenrong

Special Thanks：
Ming-Ming Chang
永吉路的水果攤 妹妹們 （謝謝你們臨時當我們臨時演員）