為什麼鷹派紛紛離開，因為他們知道有人在打假球。

Defending Taiwan, according to Bolton, also isn’t a priority for the president.

“Trump was particularly dyspeptic about Taiwan, having listened to Wall Street financiers who had gotten rich off mainland China investments. One of Trump’s favorite comparisons was to point to the tip of one of his Sharpies and say, “This is Taiwan,” then point to the historic Resolute desk in the Oval Office and say, “This is China.”

川粉表示 : FAKE NEWS ?

--------------------------------------------------------

Former National Security Advisor John Bolton writes in a new book that President Donald Trump asked Chinese leader Xi Jinping to help him win re-election by buying more U.S. farm products, according to an excerpt published by the Wall Street Journal.

In the book, which is scheduled to be released next week, Bolton describes a discussion between Trump and Xi at last year’s Group of 20 summit in Osaka, Japan. Bolton writes that Trump was “pleading with Xi to ensure he’d win” but said he could not print the president’s exact words because of the government’s pre-publication review process for classified material forbade it, according to the excerpt.

Bolton claims that Trump views China policy entirely through the lens of his re-election, fixated on securing a trade deal at the expense of almost everything else. That, according to Bolton, raises the possibility that Trump’s recent tough talk about China’s role in the coronavirus pandemic is nothing more than bluster that may dissolve if he wins re-election.

“The Trump presidency is not grounded in philosophy, grand strategy or policy,” Bolton writes. “It is grounded in Trump. That is something to think about for those, especially China realists, who believe they know what he will do in a second term.”

The list of Trump’s concessions to China are long, according to Bolton. He was uninterested in supporting Hong Kong’s pro-democracy protesters last year and told Xi in the summer of 2019 that building camps in the Xinjiang region to imprison hundreds of thousands of Uighur Muslim was “exactly the right thing to do.”

The description of Trump’s policies in Bolton’s book will also lend credence to Democrats’ claims that the president’s actions essentially gave China a green light to carry out some of its most egregious abuses, including its crackdown on Uighurs and its decision to impose a new national security law on Hong Kong.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-06-17/bolton-says-in-book-trump-sought-xi-s-help-in-re-election-bid?srnd=premium-asia&sref=nX3sHuam

上月，美國前國防部長和北韓反核武專家 William Perry在上海曾跟我說：「我已88歲了，堅持寫書和演講就是提醒你們這一代要有危機意識，我們正身處危機四伏的區域，再者特朗普當上總統後更為亞太地區的和平帶來不穩定因素。」如果你關心南北韓，以至整個東北亞安全，William Perry 這篇問答要認真細讀。

//Q: How could it get worse? Aren’t U.S. and South Korean forces combined much stronger than North Korea?

A: Our troops are in South Korea. If North Korea attacks, we do respond to it. It could start as a relatively minor conflict, but it is all too likely to escalate into a bigger war and ultimately into a nuclear war. I have no doubt that in a war with North Korea, the U.S. and South Korea have quite superior forces and we would win. But let’s raise the question what North Korea’s objectives are. Because I believe this is not a crazy regime; it is an evil regime, it is a reckless regime, but it’s not crazy. They are oriented almost entirely around regime survival and therefore they are not going to undertake an unprovoked nuclear attack against South Korea anyway. That’s bluster. They are not suicidal. They recognize if they do that their leaders will be killed and their country devastated. They know there will be a nuclear response against them. But if we get into a conventional war and they start losing it, and they see the regime falling anyway, then they might take some last, desperate Armageddon approach. From all of my experience with them, and I worked with the North Korean problem now for several decades and I’ve met with North Korean leaders many times, I think this is a sobering and a worrisome forecast of what could happen.//

William J Perry Project
#朝鮮不是敍利亞

「太陽能比風更快使你脫下外套；就像溫和、友善和讚賞的態度，相較於咆哮和猛烈的攻擊，更能使人改變心意。」– 戴爾‧卡內基 (勵志專家)

“The sun can make you take off your coat more quickly than the wind; and kindliness, the friendly approach and appreciation can make people change their minds more readily than all the bluster and storming in the world. – Dale Carnegie, Motivational Expert

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